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Hi --
I've been busy with writing an article for an upcoming book, and building out some technical infrastructure for Brilliant Swarm and other projects. However, finally, I am sending out a photo from the last Brilliant Swarm Café, which was held in Berkeley in December. Sorry it's taken so long. ![[Click image to enlarge] Sticky Notes](images/sticky_notes.jpg)
Soon after the Café, the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) was released. It was described by one commentator as the intelligence community sticking a knife in the President's back... perhaps retribution for him laying the blame for Iraq at their feet. In any case, the NIE stated that Iran had stopped development of its nuclear weapons program in 2003(!). This made Bush's bellicose posturing onIran seem... risible and reckless.
Not that it lessened the neo-con's enthusiasm for a confrontation with Iran. But, we can hope, it diminished their capacity forimplementing it. I'm cautiously optimistic they won't be able to extend their mid-east adventurism to Iran. Of course, there was that incident in the Straits of Hormuz. Seemed like an attempt at anotherGulf of Tonkin-style deception. Especially with that doctored videotape. Are we a little smarter this time around? I like to think so!
More recently:
Are We Closer to War?
The abrupt resignation yesterday of the top U.S. commander in the Middle East, Admiral William J. "Fox" Fallon, has sparked a new round of speculation that Bush and Cheney have somesort of plan in the works to attack Iran before their time is up.
Hmmm. Sec. of Defense Gates says the idea that Fallon is leaving because of his opposition to administration policy on Iran is "ridiculous." Not sure I believe that. Do you?
Phyllis Bennis, commenting on the recent showdown between the al-Maliki government and the Moqtada al Sadr forces (i.e. between Iraqis who are working with the US and those who want to expel them (us?)) added this bit about Iran --
There is a rising danger that ideologues in the White House, driven by unilateralism and militarism as points of principle and led by Dick Cheney, could use this moment to escalate or even implement military threats towards Iran - hoping to thereby distract Americans from their failing Iraq policy. Condoleezza Rice is in the Middle East, ostensibly talking to Israeli and Palestinian leaders about the so-called "peace process." She may have another agenda as well; Cheney's regional "peace process" visit last week primarily focused on pressing Arab governments to back U.S.threats against Iran. (In fact the day after Cheney left Riyadh, the Saudi and Arab Gulf press announced that the Saudi government's powerful Shura council would "secretly discuss national plans to deal with any sudden nuclear and radioactive hazards that may affect the kingdom following experts' warnings of possible attacks on Iran's Bushehr nuclear reactors." Even if that report is factually false, its deliberate announcement in the government-controlled press indicates unease among Bush's top Arab allies.) We should be watching for any deliberate provocation aimed at Iran, or even a completely false Tonkin Gulf-style "incident" which might be designed as a pretext to military strikes against Iran. Incidentally, I went and saw Daniel Ellsberg speak. Again, he called for people of conscience within the administration to speak out, as he had done so many years ago (remember the Pentagon Papers?). He also had a lot to say about the illegality of the US attack on Iraq, a fact that is often glossed over but is really central to the discussion.
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If you are interested in contributing to the Brilliant Swarm project and happen to be a skilled Java programmer, please get in touch! For the new Brilliant Swarm site I have installed a Java web portal called Liferay, which I really like. It has sped up application development, but there is still a lot of work to do.
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